Prof Klaus Arpe

Main interests are the hydrological cycle of the atmosphere, diagnostic studies of atmospheric processes using observational and model data.

Recently the work has concentrated on the variability of the Caspian Sea level and the last glacial maximum.

2010-2014 Member of the EU-IRSES-CIMSEAS project on “Climate Change and Inland Seas: Phenomena, Feedback and Uncertainties. The Physical Science Basis”

Publications since 1990

• Arpe, K., 1991: The hydrological cycle in the ECMWF short range forecasts. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 16, 33-59.
• Reynolds,R.W., Arpe,K., Gordon,C., Hayes,S.P., Leetmaa,A. and M.J.McPhaden, 1989: A comparison of tropical Pacific surface wind analyses. Journal of Climate, 2, 105-111.
• Phillips,T.J., W.L.Gates, K.Arpe, 1992: The effect of sampling frequency on the climate statistics of the ECMWF General Circulation Model. J.Geophy.Res.-Atmosphere, 20.427-20.436
• Boer G.J., K.Arpe, M.Blackburn, M.Deque, W.L.Gates, T.L.Hart, H.LeTreut, E.Roeckner, D.A.Sheinin, I.Simmonds, R.N.B.Smith, T.Tokioka, R.T.Wetherald, and D.Williamson, 1992: Some results from an intercomparison of the climates simulated by 14 atmospheric general circulation models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 97, D12, 12771-12786.
• Arpe, K. and H. Cattle, 1993: A comparison of surface stress and precipitation fields in short-range forecasts over the Antarctic region. J. of Geophysical Research ,98, D7, 13035-13044.
• Arpe, K., 1994: Estimation of Global Precipitation Using the ECMWF Analysis-Forecasting Scheme. Remote Sensing Reviews, vol 11, 93-105.
• Arpe, K., L. Bengtsson, L. Dümenil and E. Roeckner, 1994: The hydrological cycle in the ECHAM3 simulations of the atmospheric circulation. In: Global precipitations and climate change, edited by M.Desbois and F. Desalmand, NATO ASI Series, Vol I 26, p 361-377.
• Barnett, T.P., L.Bengtsson, K.Arpe, M. Flügel, N. Graham, M.Latif, J. Ritchie, E. Roeckner, U. Schlese, U. Schulzweida and M. Tyree, 1994: Forecasting global ENSO-related climate anomalies. Tellus 46A, 381-397.
• Latif,M., T. Stockdale, J. Wolff, G. Burgers, E. Meier-Reimer, M.M. Junge, K. Arpe and L. Bengtsson, 1994: Climatology and variability in the ECHO coupled GCM, Tellus, 46A, 351-366.
• P. Delecluse, J. Servain, C. Levey, K. Arpe and L. Bengtsson, 1994: On the connection between the 1984 Atlantic warm event and the 1982-1983 ENSO. Tellus, 46A, 448-464.
• H.v.Storch, D. Schriever, K.Arpe, G.W. Branstator, R. Legnani, U. Ulbrich, 1994: Numerical experiments on the atmospheric response to cold equatorial Pacific conditions ("La Nina") during northern summer. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System 2, 99-120.
• Bengtsson, L., K. Arpe, E. Roeckner and U. Schulzweida, 1996: Climate predictability experiments with a general circulation model. Clim. Dyn. 12, 261-275.
• Barnett, T.P., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Ji and A. Kumar, 1997: Potential Predictability and AMIP Implications of Midlatitude Climate Variability in Two General Circulation Models. J. Clim. 10, 2321-2329
• Arpe K., L. Dümenil and M. A. Giorgetta, 1998: Variability of the Indian monsoon in the ECHAM3 model, sensitivity to sea surface temperature, soil moisture and the stratospheric QBO. J. Clim. 11, 1837-1858.
• Giorgetta M.A., L. Bengtsson and K. Arpe, 1999: An investigation of QBO signals in the East Asian and Indian monsoon in GCM experiments. Climate Dynamics, 15, 435-450
• Arpe, K. and E. Roeckner, 1999: Simulation of the hydrological cycle over Europe: Model validation and impacts of increasing greenhouse gases. Advances in Water Resources,23, 105-119.
• Hu, Z.-Z., L. Bengtsson and K. Arpe, 1999: Impact of global warming on the Asian winter monsoon in a coupled GCM. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 D4, 4607-4624.
• Martin,G.M., Arpe, K., Chauvin, L. Ferranti, Maynard, L.K., Polcher, J., Stephenson, D.B., Tschuck, P., 2000: The simulation of the Asian summer monsoon in five European general circulation models. Atmospheric Science Letters. DOI: 10.1006/asle.2000.0004
• Arpe, K., Bengtsson L., Golitsyn G.S., Mokhov I.I., Semenov V.A. and P.V. Sporyshev, 2000: Connection between Caspian Sea level variability and ENSO. GRL, 27, 2693-2696.
• Bengtsson, L., Arpe, K., 2000: Wasser im Klimasystem. In: Schriftreihe Forum / Band 9 - Wasser, 116-123.
• Arpe, K., 2000: Impacts of SST anomalies on the West African Monsoon precipitation variability. Proceedings of the 25th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Palisades, N.Y., October 23-27 2000, 266-269.
• Cui, M., Feng, M., Lian, S., Arpe, K., Dümenil, L., 2000: Evaluation of daily precipitation in China from ECMWF and NCEP reanalyses. Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology.
• Tsuang, B-J, Tu, C-Y, Arpe, K., 2001: Lake parameterization for climate models. Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology Report No. 316, 72pp.
• Tschuck, P., Chauvin, F., Dong, B., Arpe, K., 2004: Impact of sea-surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Indian ocean and western Pacific on the Asian summer monsoon in three general circulation models. Int. J. Climatol., 24, 181-191.
• Liess, S., Bengtsson, L., Arpe, K., 2004: The intraseasonal oscillation in ECHAM4 Part I: coupled to a comprehensive ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 22, 653 – 669.
• Arpe,K., Hagemann, S., Jacob, D., 2005: The realism of the ECHAM5 models to simulate the hydrological cycle in the Arctic and North European area. Nordic Hydrology, 36, 349-367.
• Uppala, S.M., Kållberg, P.W., Simmons, A.J., Andrae, U., da Costa Bechtold, V., Fiorino, M., Gibson, J.K., Haseler, J., Hernandez, A., Kelly, G.A., Li, X., Onogi, K., Saarinen, S., Sokka, N., Allan, R.P., Andersson, E., Arpe, K., Balmaseda, M.A., Beljaars, A.C.M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Caires, S., Chevallier, F., Dethof, A., Dragosavac, M., Fisher, M., Fuentes, M., Hagemann, S., Hólm, E., Hoskins, B.J., Isaksen, L., Janssen, P.A.E.M., Jenne, R., McNally, A.P., Mahfouf, J.-F., Morcrette, J.-J., Rayner, N.A., Saunders, R.W., Simon, P., Sterl, A., Trenberth, K.E., Untch, A., Vasiljevic, D., Viterbo, P., Woollen, J., 2005: The ERA-40 re-analysis. Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 2961-3012. doi:10.1256/qj.04.176.
• Hagemann, S., K Arpe, E Roeckner, 2006: Evaluation of the hydrological cycle in the ECHAM5 model. Journal of Climate, 19, 3810-3827.
• Leroy, S., Arpe, K., 2007: Glacial refugia for summer-green trees in Europe and S-W Asia as proposed by ECHAM3 time slice atmospheric model simulations. Journal of Biogeography. 34, 2115-2128. IF 2.8 (in 2007). doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2007.01754x .
• Arpe, K., Leroy, S., 2007: The Caspian Sea Level forced by the atmospheric circulation, as observed and modelled. Quaternary International. 173-174: 144-152 (IF 1.6 in 2007), dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2007.03.008.
• Leroy S., Marret F., Gibert E., Chalié F., Reyss J-L. and Arpe K., 2007. River inflow and salinity changes in the Caspian Sea during the last 5500 years. Quaternary Science, Reviews 26: 3359-3383. IF 4.1. dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.09.012
• Tsuang, B-J, Tu, C-Y, Dracup J. A., Arpe, K., Meyers, T., 2009: A more accurate scheme for calculating Earth's skin temperature. Climate Dynamics, 32, 2-3, 251-272. DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0479-2
• Arpe, K., Leroy, S., 2009: Atlantic hurricanes - testing impacts of local SSTs, ENSO, stratospheric QBO - implications for Global Warming. Quaternary International. 195, 1-2, 4-14
• Leroy, S.A.G., Arpe, K. and Mikolajewicz, U. 2011: Vegetation context and climatic limits of the Early Pleistocene hominin dispersal in Europe, Quaternary Science Reviews, 1–16. online 16 March 10.
• Arpe, K., Leroy, SAG, Mikolajewicz, U., 2011: A comparison of climate simulations for the last glacial maximum with three different versions of the ECHAM model and implications for summer-green tree refugia. Clim. Past, 7, 1–24, doi:10.5194/ cp-7-1-2011.
• Leroy S.A.G., Lahijani H.A.K., Djamali M., Naqinezhad A., Vahabi-Moghadam M., Arpe K., Shah-Hosseini M., Hosseindoust M., Miller Ch.S., Tavakoli V., Habibi P. and Majid Naderi M., 2011: Late Holocene palaeoenvironmental records from the Anzali and Amirkola lagoons (south Caspian Sea): vegetation and sea level changes. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 302, 3-4, 415-434.
• Arpe, K., Leroy, S.A.G., Lahijani, H. and Khan V., 2012: Impact of the European Russia drought in 2010 on the Caspian Sea Level. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 19–27.